This content show an extensive experiment into the odds and profitability of reforging Soul Cores in Path of Exile 2. The creator invests a considerable amount of currency to analyse the rarity of certain Soul Cores and determine if reforging them can be a profitable endeavour.
Experiment details
Initial investment:
330 Divines have been forged into approximately 39,400
Exalted Orbs.
An additional 10 million
gold was spent to support the experiment.
Purpose:
To test whether As Capa (corrected from Ass Capa) is actually rarer than other Soul Cores.
To assess the profitability of reforging Soul Cores.
Methodology:
Reforged 8,500 Soul Cores, noting valuable results such as As Capa, Squalor and Zelot. Note that certain cores such as Cholat, At Moa and Zantipi are not reforgeable.
Results
Rarity distribution:
As Capa: 150 instances, indicating that it's relatively rare, but not significantly more so than others.
Squalor and Zelot: Close in frequency with 255 and 262 instances, indicating similar rarity.
Cholat, At Moa, Zantipi: Similar numbers with 119, 105 and 122 instances, suggesting they are of comparable rarity despite not being forgeable.
Profit analysis:
As Capa: 252 Exalts each, for a total of 37,800 Exalts, or about 330
Divines from 150 cores.
Squalor: 255 cores of 10 Divines each, contributing 25.5 Divines.
Zelot: 262 cores at 31 Exalts each, totalling 8,122 Exalts or approximately 78.7 Divines.
Total profit:
The initial cost was 39,400 Exalts, with a return of 48,900 Exalts, for a profit of 9,582 Exalts, or approximately 94.2 Divines.
Additional considerations:
The conversion of gold into divines has been taken into account, highlighting the efficiency of this method in terms of gold spent.
Conclusions
Rarity: Capa is confirmed to be rarer than Squalor and Zelot, but not by much.
Profitability: With a large sample size, there's a chance of profit, but smaller investments are highly susceptible to RNG variability.
Investment size: The experiment suggests that larger investments may lead to more predictable results, but smaller investments are risky.
Recommendations
For profit: Only those with significant currency reserves should consider this strategy due to the inherent risks.
Market Dynamics: Direct player trades may yield better exchange rates, but require more effort and market knowledge.
Final Comments
The content emphasise the gambling aspect of Soul Core reforging, advising caution and a willingness to potentially lose your investment.
Thank you for readingThis experiment sheds light on one of the more speculative aspects of PoE2's economy, and provides valuable data for those considering this high-stakes strategy.
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